Course Content
PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT: AN OVERVIEW
This topic is covered in study session 18 of the material provided by the Institute. After reading this chapter, a student shall be able to: a. describe the portfolio approach to investing; b. describe the steps in the portfolio management process; c. describe types of investors and distinctive characteristics and needs of each; d. describe defined contribution and defined benefit pension plans; e. describe aspects of the asset management industry; f. describe mutual funds and compare them with other pooled investment products.
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PORTFOLIO RISK AND RETURN: PART I
This topic is covered in study session 18 of the material provided by the institute. After reading this chapter, a student shall be able to: a. calculate and interpret major return measures and describe their appropriate uses; b. compare the money-weighted and time-weighted rates of return and evaluate the performance of portfolios based on these measures; c. describe characteristics of the major asset classes that investors consider in forming portfolios; d. calculate and interpret the mean, variance, and covariance (or correlation) of asset returns based on historical data; e. explain risk aversion and its implications for portfolio selection; f. calculate and interpret portfolio standard deviation; g. describe the effect on a portfolio’s risk of investing in assets that are less than perfectly correlated; h. describe and interpret the minimum-variance and efficient frontiers of risky assets and the global minimum-variance portfolio; i. explain the selection of an optimal portfolio, given an investor’s utility (or risk aversion) and the capital allocation line.
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PORTFOLIO RISK AND RETURN: PART II
This topic is covered in study session 18 of the material provided by the institute. After reading this chapter, a student shall be able to: a. describe the implications of combining a risk-free asset with a portfolio of risky assets; b. explain the capital allocation line (CAL) and the capital market line (CML); c. explain systematic and nonsystematic risk, including why an investor should not expect to receive an additional return for bearing nonsystematic risk; d. explain return-generating models (including the market model) and their uses; e. calculate and interpret beta; f. explain the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), including its assumptions, and the security market line (SML); g. calculate and interpret the expected return of an asset using the CAPM; h. describe and demonstrate applications of the CAPM and the SML. i. calculate and interpret the Sharpe ratio, Treynor ratio, M2, and Jensen’s alpha.
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BASICS OF PORTFOLIO PLANNING AND CONSTRUCTION
This topic is covered in study session 19 of the material provided by the institute. After reading this chapter, a student shall be able to: a. describe the reasons for a written investment policy statement (IPS); b. describe the major components of an IPS; c. describe risk and return objectives and how they may be developed for a client; d. distinguish between the willingness and the ability (capacity) to take risk in analyzing an investor’s financial risk tolerance; e. describe the investment constraints of liquidity, time horizon, tax concerns, legal and regulatory factors, and unique circumstances and their implications for the choice of portfolio assets; f. explain the specification of asset classes in relation to asset allocation; g. describe the principles of portfolio construction and the role of asset allocation in relation to the IPS. h. describe how environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations may be integrated into portfolio planning and construction.
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INTRODUCTION TO RISK MANAGEMENT
This topic is covered in study session 19 of the material provided by the institute. After reading this chapter, a student shall be able to: a. define risk management; b. describe features of a risk management framework; c. define risk governance and describe elements of effective risk governance; d. explain how risk tolerance affects risk management; e. describe risk budgeting and its role in risk governance; f. identify financial and non-financial sources of risk and describe how they may interact; g. describe methods for measuring and modifying risk exposures and factors to consider in choosing among the methods.
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
This topic is covered in study session 19 of the material provided by the institute. After reading this chapter, a student shall be able to: a. explain principles of technical analysis, its applications, and its underlying assumptions; b. describe the construction of different types of technical analysis charts and interpret them; c. explain uses of trend, support, resistance lines, and change in polarity; d. describe common chart patterns; e. describe common technical analysis indicators (price-based, momentum oscillators, sentiment, and flow of funds); f. explain how technical analysts use cycles; g. describe the key tenets of Elliott Wave Theory and the importance of Fibonacci numbers; h. describe intermarket analysis as it relates to technical analysis and asset allocation.
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Portfolio Management
About Lesson

LOS C requires us to:

describe characteristics of the major asset classes that investors consider in forming portfolios

 

a.  Based on their preferences, there are three types of investors. They are:

      i.  Risk-Averse. These are the investors that have to dislike the risk, so they basically like to make investments in the assets that have a sure return (even if, they are a little less comparatively).
The main target of a risk-averse investor is to maximize returns at a given level of risk and minimize risk at a given level of return.

    ii.  Risk Seekers. These are the investors who seek risk with an eye to achieve higher returns. These are the investors who like to take a gamble and get satisfaction from the uncertainty.

   iii.  Risk Neutral. These investors are indifferent towards the risk and seek higher returns regardless of risk.

b.  The preference for the risk, as discussed above depends on the risk tolerance of the investors. Risk tolerance is the level of risk willingly accepted by the investors to achieve their investment goals.

A lower risk tolerance indicates a lower level of acceptable risk and a higher risk aversion.

c.  As per the utility theory and indifference curve approach, as discussed in microeconomics, the investors derive satisfaction or utility from particular choices relative to others.

Thus, for a risk-averse investor, the utility function is:

utility theory and indifference curve approach Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

d.  The main assumptions behind the above utility approach are:

     i.  that investors are generally risk-averse but prefer more return to less,

    ii.  investors are able to rank different portfolios based on their preferences, and

   iii.  the preferences of the investors are internally consistent, and this consistency comes from the rationality of the investors.

e.  The main conclusions of the above theory of indifference curve are:

     i.  the utilities are unbounded on both sides, i.e. they could be both highly positive and negative,

    ii.  higher returns result in higher utility, and

   iii.  higher the value of A, the higher is the risk aversion and the higher the negative effect on utility.

f.  The degree of risk tolerance of an investor depends upon the value of A.

     i.  If A is greater than 0, the investor is risk-averse.

    ii.  If A equals 0 then the investor is risk-neutral.

   iii.  If A is less than 0 then the investor is risk-seeking.

g.  We can plot the indifference curve of a typical investor on a graph as follows:

Risk Tolerance Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

     i.  This indifference curve plots the risk and returns trade-off for a given level of utility.

    ii.  These curves are upward sloping, indicating that higher risk must be accompanied by a higher return.

   iii.  The curve is non-linear in shape, having an increasing This is mainly because the required return increases at an increasing rate, also showing the diminishing marginal utility of wealth.

h.  The degree of risk aversion can also be seen from the slope of an indifference curve, as follows:

Risk Aversion  Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

The higher the slope of the indifference curve, the more risk-averse the investor is.

i.  We can build a portfolio with just two assets, one risk-free asset and the other, a risky one based on the market returns, as follows:

Asset

Expected Return (E(R))

Risk (σ2)

Weights

Risk-Free

rf

O

W1

Risky Asset

E(Ri)

σ > 0

1- W1

The expected return on this portfolio would be:

expected return on this portfolio Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

The total risk of the portfolio would be:

Total Risk On Portfolio- Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

Since, W1=0, this equation can also be written as:

Total Risk On Portfolio- Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

j.  With the help of the above equation, we can derive the capital allocation line, as follows:

Capital Allocation Line Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

From the equation for the portfolio variance, as derived above, we can find the value of portfolio standard deviation:

Portfolio Variance Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

Thus, the weight of risk-free asset in the portfolio should be:

weight of risk-free asset Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

Now, the equation for the portfolio expected return is:

portfolio expected return  Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

Inserting the value of W1 into the above equation, we get:

portfolio expected return  derivation Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

or,

Capital Allocation Line formula derivation Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

This is the equation for the capital allocation line.

Capital Allocation Line formula derivation Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

The slope of the line in the above equation represents the market price of the risk.

k.  Now if we draw the indifference curves and capital allocation lines on the same graph, it would look like this:

Optimal Portfolio Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

In the above figure, we have three indifference curves and a capital allocation line. The higher the indifference curve, the better utility/satisfaction it provides to the investor. The capital allocation line shows the maximum amount of return that an investor can have, and the maximum risk it can tolerate.

We can consider different points for the optimal allocation as follows:

     i.  Point ‘m’ lies below the capital allocation line, which means, that the investor has a higher risk tolerance, which can help him earn better returns. Thus this point is not the desired position for the investor to be at.

    ii.  Point ‘l’ lies above the capital allocation line, thus it is unachievable.

   iii.  Point ‘a’ and ‘b’ lies on the capital allocation line, but they lie on the lower indifference curve, in comparison to the other points on the line that can be on higher indifference curves. Thus, these points provide lesser utility to the investor.

   iv.  Point ‘m’ is the tangent point between the indifference curve and the capital allocation line. It shows the highest indifference curve that can be achieved given the risk tolerance, as shown by the capital allocation line. Thus, this point provides the maximum utility.
Thus, point ‘m’ is the optimal portfolio position for the investor.

l.  For different individual investors, the position of the indifference curve could be different over the same capital allocation line.

Different risk tolerance Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

The individuals with the higher risk tolerance would have their indifference curves further right, in comparison to those with a lower tolerance. This is mainly because of higher expected returns, with greater risk acceptance.