Course Content
PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT: AN OVERVIEW
This topic is covered in study session 18 of the material provided by the Institute. After reading this chapter, a student shall be able to: a. describe the portfolio approach to investing; b. describe the steps in the portfolio management process; c. describe types of investors and distinctive characteristics and needs of each; d. describe defined contribution and defined benefit pension plans; e. describe aspects of the asset management industry; f. describe mutual funds and compare them with other pooled investment products.
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PORTFOLIO RISK AND RETURN: PART I
This topic is covered in study session 18 of the material provided by the institute. After reading this chapter, a student shall be able to: a. calculate and interpret major return measures and describe their appropriate uses; b. compare the money-weighted and time-weighted rates of return and evaluate the performance of portfolios based on these measures; c. describe characteristics of the major asset classes that investors consider in forming portfolios; d. calculate and interpret the mean, variance, and covariance (or correlation) of asset returns based on historical data; e. explain risk aversion and its implications for portfolio selection; f. calculate and interpret portfolio standard deviation; g. describe the effect on a portfolio’s risk of investing in assets that are less than perfectly correlated; h. describe and interpret the minimum-variance and efficient frontiers of risky assets and the global minimum-variance portfolio; i. explain the selection of an optimal portfolio, given an investor’s utility (or risk aversion) and the capital allocation line.
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PORTFOLIO RISK AND RETURN: PART II
This topic is covered in study session 18 of the material provided by the institute. After reading this chapter, a student shall be able to: a. describe the implications of combining a risk-free asset with a portfolio of risky assets; b. explain the capital allocation line (CAL) and the capital market line (CML); c. explain systematic and nonsystematic risk, including why an investor should not expect to receive an additional return for bearing nonsystematic risk; d. explain return-generating models (including the market model) and their uses; e. calculate and interpret beta; f. explain the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), including its assumptions, and the security market line (SML); g. calculate and interpret the expected return of an asset using the CAPM; h. describe and demonstrate applications of the CAPM and the SML. i. calculate and interpret the Sharpe ratio, Treynor ratio, M2, and Jensen’s alpha.
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BASICS OF PORTFOLIO PLANNING AND CONSTRUCTION
This topic is covered in study session 19 of the material provided by the institute. After reading this chapter, a student shall be able to: a. describe the reasons for a written investment policy statement (IPS); b. describe the major components of an IPS; c. describe risk and return objectives and how they may be developed for a client; d. distinguish between the willingness and the ability (capacity) to take risk in analyzing an investor’s financial risk tolerance; e. describe the investment constraints of liquidity, time horizon, tax concerns, legal and regulatory factors, and unique circumstances and their implications for the choice of portfolio assets; f. explain the specification of asset classes in relation to asset allocation; g. describe the principles of portfolio construction and the role of asset allocation in relation to the IPS. h. describe how environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations may be integrated into portfolio planning and construction.
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INTRODUCTION TO RISK MANAGEMENT
This topic is covered in study session 19 of the material provided by the institute. After reading this chapter, a student shall be able to: a. define risk management; b. describe features of a risk management framework; c. define risk governance and describe elements of effective risk governance; d. explain how risk tolerance affects risk management; e. describe risk budgeting and its role in risk governance; f. identify financial and non-financial sources of risk and describe how they may interact; g. describe methods for measuring and modifying risk exposures and factors to consider in choosing among the methods.
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
This topic is covered in study session 19 of the material provided by the institute. After reading this chapter, a student shall be able to: a. explain principles of technical analysis, its applications, and its underlying assumptions; b. describe the construction of different types of technical analysis charts and interpret them; c. explain uses of trend, support, resistance lines, and change in polarity; d. describe common chart patterns; e. describe common technical analysis indicators (price-based, momentum oscillators, sentiment, and flow of funds); f. explain how technical analysts use cycles; g. describe the key tenets of Elliott Wave Theory and the importance of Fibonacci numbers; h. describe intermarket analysis as it relates to technical analysis and asset allocation.
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Portfolio Management
About Lesson

LOS A requires us to:

calculate and interpret major return measures and describe their appropriate uses

 

a.  All the financial assets have two characteristics in common:

     i.  an expected return, and

    ii.  uncertainty regarding that return, i.e. risk.

Therefore, all the financial assets can be described by risk and return.

b.  The return is typically derived from two sources, i.e. income and capital gains or losses.

c.  Thus the total holding period returns from a financial asset are:

total holding period returns formula Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes
If, however, the asset is held for multiple periods, starting from T0 to T1, T2, up to Tn, and the returns during each of such period where R1, R2, up to Rn, as follows:

multiple periods for asset timeline Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

Its total holding period returns can be calculated as follows:

holding period returns Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

For multiple holding periods, the returns could also be measured using the arithmetic mean. This method assumes that there is no compounding effect. This method gives us only an average return over a given random one-period timeframe.

So, if an asset is held from T0 to T1, T2, up to Tn, and the returns during each of such period were R1, R2, up to Rn, as follows:

multiple periods for asset timeline Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

Its total average returns can be calculated as follows:

total average returns Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

Another way of calculating the returns on an investment held for multiple periods is the geometric mean. This method considers compounding and represents growth over a given time period.

So, if an asset is held from T0 to T1, T2, up to Tn, and the returns during each of such period were R1, R2, up to Rn, as follows:

multiple periods for asset timeline Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

Its total average returns can be calculated as follows:

total average returns Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes
This can also be written as:

total average returns Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

d.  We can also calculate the returns on the financial asset by calculating the money-weighted returns. It is also called the internal rate of return or IRR. It is the rate at which the present value of both the cash outflows and inflows equals zero. It is the rate of return generated by the asset internally.

This method accurately reflects what a specific investor earned, but this method lacks comparability.

For, an asset with the holding period is T, having different cash flows such as CF1, CF2, up to CFT, the IRR would be calculated by equating the sum of the present value of such cash flows with zero. That is,

Holding period return for different cash flows Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

e.  For example, if we invest $ 1 million at the beginning of a 5 year holding period, and the annual returns during these 5 years were as follows:

Year

Percentage Return

1

10%

2

-5%

3

10%

4

15%

5

10%

      i.  The holding period return from the investment would be:

= [(1+0.10)(1-0.05)(1+0.10)(1+0.15)(1+0.10)] – 1
= 0.4541 or 45.41%

    ii.  The arithmetic mean or average return would be:

= (10 – 5 + 10 +15 + 10)
= 8%

   iii.  The geometric return of the investment is:

= [(1 + 0.10) (1 – 0.05) (1 + 0.10) (1 + 0.15) (1 + 0.10)]1/5 – 1
    = 0.0778 or 7.78%

    iv.  For calculating the money-weighted returns, assuming that the income earned on the investment was reinvested, the cash flow and the closing balance of investment at the end of each year would be:

Year

Cash Flow

Income

Closing Balance

0

(1,000,000.00)

1,000,000.00

1

100,000.00

1,100,000.00

2

(55,000.00)

1,045,000.00

3

104,500.00

1,149,500.00

4

172,425.00

1,321,925.00

5

1,454,117.50

132,192.50

    v.  Now, with the available figures of cash flow, we can calculate the IRR using the financial calculator.
IRR = 7.78%
Thus the money-weighted return is 7.78%

f.  Following is the interpretation of the different returns as calculated above:

     i.  The holding period return is the return on investment for the period of the full five years. This return is only useful for comparing the returns of investors with a similar holding period.

    ii.  The arithmetic return is the average of different returns earned during the investment period. It only gives a guess, as to what an average return, during any one period of investment could possibly be.

   iii.  The geometric mean gives us the compound annual return earned during any of the investment periods.

   iv.  The money-weighted return, on the other hand, shows the actual one-period return generated by the asset during its holding period.

g.  If we are given the returns for a certain period during the day, we can annualize the same using the following formula:

annualized holding period return Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes
For example, if an asset earned a 0.15% return for a 7-day holding period, its annualized return would be:

= [(1 + 0.0015)365/7] – 1
= 0.0813 or 8.13%

h.  If we have to compare the returns on different assets or portfolios held for different time periods, it is always desirable to convert such returns into annualized returns, for uniformity of comparables.

However, contrary to what is reflected by the figures of annualized return that we can earn these returns consistently, these returns may not be capable of replicating consistently throughout the year. The returns may also be seasonal.

i.  These were the methods used to measure the returns of the individual assets within the portfolio. The portfolio return can be measured by calculating the weighted average of the returns of individual assets within the portfolio.

portfolio Return Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

j.  The other return measures for the assets and portfolio are gross returns and net returns, pre-tax and post-tax returns, nominal and real returns, levered and unleveraged

     i.  Gross Returns are the returns earned by the portfolio before charging the management, administration, and other fees. Gross returns are the basis for comparing the manager’s performance. Gross return on Portfolio Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

    ii.  Net Returns, on the other hand, are the returns actually receivable by the investors. The management, administration and all the other cost that is chargeable from the investor is deducted from the gross returns to calculate the net returns.

Net return on Portfolio Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

   iii.  For understanding the pre-tax and post-tax returns, it is important to understand the components of capital gains.

The capital gains could be of two types, the short-term and long-term. Long-term capital gains usually receive preferential tax treatment in comparison to short-term capital gains.

There could also be two kinds of income from the investments, i.e. interest and dividends. Dividends also receive preferential tax treatment.

   iv.  The returns could also be real and nominal.

The nominal returns are the returns quantified in the present-day monetary terms. Whereas, the real returns are the inflation-adjusted returns earned by the investors.

They are the returns in terms of the purchasing power of the investors.

The relation between the real and nominal returns can be written as follows:

relation between the real and nominal returns Portfolio Management CFA level 1 Study Notes

    v.  The leveraged returns are earned either by the use of derivatives or margins. The effect of leveraging magnifies both the gains and the losses. The leveraged returns must account for the margin loan interest